Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.480747 0.563329 0.653714 0.759699 0.880275 1.012877 1.169429
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.359863 0.471640 0.605801 0.777415 0.989693 1.242155 1.563468
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.276962 0.400266 0.560482 0.780942 1.072985 1.442781 1.941999
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.210605 0.332913 0.503656 0.754284 1.106627 1.577226 2.244662
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.177918 0.303812 0.490620 0.780029 1.207222 1.802915 2.681637
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.151361 0.277683 0.475928 0.798405 1.295535 2.015495 3.114421
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.136570 0.266907 0.481707 0.846085 1.428905 2.300221 3.668468
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.115103 0.240379 0.457589 0.842233 1.480852 2.466450 4.058376
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.096425 0.214999 0.431041 0.829792 1.515775 2.606703 4.415766
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.081775 0.194237 0.409092 0.821461 1.554783 2.753767 4.790605
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.072703 0.182844 0.402381 0.838554 1.637040 2.974343 5.293903
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064310 0.171181 0.393278 0.849636 1.708768 3.181121 5.785914
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.056053 0.158428 0.380685 0.853561 1.769701 3.376944 6.277801
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049716 0.148883 0.373343 0.866876 1.849045 3.609981 6.847412
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.043343 0.137819 0.361017 0.868453 1.905947 3.806921 7.366466
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.035809 0.121866 0.335169 0.838401 1.898262 3.886699 7.684635
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032871 0.117857 0.336328 0.866305 2.007436 4.186167 8.408805
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029818 0.112784 0.334119 0.886314 2.101850 4.463381 9.106938
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.028651 0.113191 0.345565 0.938451 2.266676 4.882874 10.086043
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.025029 0.104894 0.333426 0.934221 2.311832 5.074924 10.652872
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021526 0.095994 0.318187 0.920603 2.335156 5.225047 11.147651
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.018674 0.088504 0.305491 0.911484 2.367053 5.393057 11.683493
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017064 0.085134 0.303943 0.930187 2.462666 5.694288 12.490405